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How to Interpret Sales Revenue and Economic News

  
  
  

Dave Kurlan is a top-rated speaker, best-selling author, sales thought leader and highly regarded sales development expert.

moneyI am having a disconnect with the bad economic news being reported.  Perhaps these conditions aren't like this where you live and work, but here's what I see all the time:

  • Can't find a place to park at shopping malls because they are jammed;
  • Every flight I take is full;
  • There are lines of cars waiting to purchase fuel at gas stations;
  • The restaurants are packed;
  • Sporting events are sold out;
  • Concerts are sold out;

Perhaps the disconnect between what I see and what is being reported is simply this.  While there are some isolated geographies and industries that are doing poorly, others are doing quite well.  But when we look at the overall numbers, they just don't provide an accurate reflection of what is actually taking place.

We heard that only 54,000 new jobs were created in May.  Shouldn't news of 54,000 new jobs, most created by small and mid-market businesses, be a good thing?  The reality is that there hasn't been much new job creation from blue-chip and other large companies.  The slow job growth is an isolated problem, not a widespread one.

Even the slumping stock market is only a reflection of one segment - investors - and only one kind of investor.  Obviously, the other kind is continuing to infuse huge amounts of cash into growing companies.

And I know the housing market is still slumping. But like I said before, it is a single industry and not representative of the whole.  But the three isolated numbers the government likes to provide us with, stocks, home sales and gas prices drive the overall numbers way down.

As a result, the overall numbers simply don't reflect what is really taking place.  And that brings me to sales numbers.  Do your overall sales numbers reflect what is really going on?

Take a look at your sales revenue by salesperson for the year to date.

Look at the numbers for some of your top salespeople and review the data to answer these questions:

  • What percent of the total represents sales to existing customers?
  • What percent of the total is low-margin business?
  • What percent of the total might include an unusually large, one-time sale which, if taken away, would actually make the numbers unimpressive?
  • Which of these opportunities were in the pipeline for one or two quarters too long, meaning that the revenue was not the result of a recent selling effort?
  • How many new customer opportunities are in their pipeline going forward?

Now look at the numbers for some of your mid-tier salespeople and dig through the data to find these answers:

  • What percent of the total represents brand new customers/accounts?
  • What percent of the total is higher-margin business?
  • Are there any unusually large sales that might skew the results?
  • Is their pipeline going forward looking nice and solid?

If you come up with the answers I am expecting, then you'll see that you must approach the sales revenue numbers with the same degree of skepticism and isolation as you should when listening to economic reports.  The total is not representative of what is really taking place.



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Posted by Dave Kurlan on Mon, Jun 13, 2011 @ 05:40 AM

COMMENTS

Sometimes I think that the people that don't watch the news are the smart ones. If you are unemployed, your unemployment is 100%. Many of my clients (as well as me) have earned more so far this year than we did ALL last year! That's right, they're looking to double (and in a couple of cases triple) last years numbers. Stop listening to people that can't and start listening to the ones that can.

posted on Monday, June 13, 2011 at 7:17 AM by Rick Roberge


Dave, you did your usual good job of providing useful info about selling. However, you're the one who cherry-picked isolated economic numbers and info.  
 
 
 
You went way outside your area of expertise when trying to make your point. I appreciate this as little as you would like someone writing a good article on the economy while using misinformed info about selling.  
 
 
 
Keep up the good stuff on selling.

posted on Monday, June 13, 2011 at 8:31 AM by Phil


Picking up on one of Dave's many good points how many VP's/CEO's after a great quarter of revenue/profit hold a review of why it was so good?. Did it come about because of stellar sales management and a sales force that was truly on their game or did those figures arrive via a sudden uplift in a healthy economy i.e it just walked in through the door. Of course a bad quarter prompts the usual 'CYA' emails which waste even more time

posted on Tuesday, June 14, 2011 at 7:55 PM by Ray Bigger


Airlines are not a smart way to ollk at this. They have cut tons of flights so that each flight is packed. There is no where near the number of flightcompared to a few years ago, so your data there is a little off. 
 
 
 
 
 
I do agree with the premise that looking at the surface numbers is not a good indication of sales people. I have done a number of these "dig ins" on sales and will note that the top people are usually on top, but the middle 1/3 swings widly on a lot of the varibles discussed above.

posted on Wednesday, June 15, 2011 at 10:23 AM by Ryan


@Ryan, 
 
Thanks for you comment. I understand that airlines have cut flights - but that's not because fewer people are flying, it's because they need to be more profitable. Under their more realistic model,face it, they are packed and they have people paying billions of dollars in extra fees to boot. 
 
The very point of my article is not to takes the facts as you know them, but to look at the data in a different way...

posted on Wednesday, June 15, 2011 at 10:29 AM by Dave Kurlan


nice informative post 
 
 
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posted on Monday, June 20, 2011 at 9:59 AM by uswah


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