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Hiring Salespeople is Like Baseball Expansion

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Hiring salespeople is scalable until you get to a dilution point - very similar to the expansion that took place in baseball. When I was growing up in the 1960's, there were 16 teams and expansion made it 20. Today, there are 30 teams and despite integrating more African American players, then Latin players and now Asian players, there isn't enough pitching or depth on most teams. Pitchers with ERA's above 5.00, who never would have made it to a major league team 40 years ago, make 40-50 appearances a year. And hitters that can't run, throw or catch, but hit home runs from the cleanup spot as designated hitters, would never have risen beyond the minor leagues back then.

Earlier today I was interviewed by Hank Walshak for a white paper on Sales Process, Sales Production and Sales Performance. As we discussed sales production - the concept that more salespeople equals more revenue, I explained dilution as it related to Baseball.

First, if you have a complex, expensive product or service and a very limited market to sell to, scaling is inappropriate.  You can do with 1 what you can do with 100.

However, if you have a product or service that everyone needs and it is not limited in geographic scope, then it is scalable - but only to the dilution point.

10 should get you double 5
20 should get you double 10
40 should get you double 20
80 should get you double 40

The CEO hires the first 10 - excellent hires.
The Sales VP hires the next 10 - good hires.
The National Sales Manager hires the next 20 - decent hires.
The Regional Sales Managers hire the next 40 - so-so hires.
The Branch Managers hire the next 80 - awful hires.

The more you hire, the worse they get.  That's when it's important to develop an effective hiring process that uses accurate, predictive sales assessments.

(c) Copyright 2008 Dave Kurlan


Posted by Dave Kurlan on Mon, Sep 15, 2008 @ 03:17 PM

COMMENTS

Hire the right people the right way the first time and you may find out that 10 is all you need who can do the job better that say 20 as an example. The right people inthe right seat doing the right things and held accountable will work every time.

posted on Monday, September 15, 2008 at 4:01 PM by Ed Kleinman


We've been hearing about "lipstick on a Pig" in the political arena the last two weeks...this truly applys to the sales hiring process...they "look good" but what are they potentally hiding or covering up that we should know about before they're hired? 
 
A strong recruiting process with written in-depth parameters which utilizes sales assessments done upfront will provide an objective "scorecard" for each candidate. Couple this together with good interview training, the hiring managers should always be able to "unmask" unqualified from the qualified sales candidates.

posted on Monday, September 15, 2008 at 7:25 PM by Phil Kash


More salespeople does not = more revenue. More salespeople can actually create a decrease in effectiveness because of the need to spread leads, education and management time over a larger team. Increasing the efficiency of a sales team is typically the quickest and most cost effective way to generate more profitable sales.

posted on Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:54 PM by Dan Tyre


But, how does one measure "efficiency"? Leads per sale? $ per sale? $ per hour? Retention? Evangelism? Top line? Bottom line?

posted on Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:05 PM by Rick Roberge


@Dan - 
 
When you talk about increasing the efficiency of the sales team, I think about sales development - assessment, training and coaching - for the sales managers so they can coach and hold their salespeople accountable to the assessment, training and coaching that will next be performed on the salespeople. But that is neither quick nor cost effective. The ROI on such an endeavor is usually around 50:1 but it requires a significant investment of time and money. Are you talking about some other kind of efficiency?

posted on Monday, September 15, 2008 at 10:08 PM by Dave Kurlan


@Phil, 
 
Great comment! Don't forget to mention that the while the process includes the assessment, in order to fully impact the hiring results, we must also impact the quality and quantity of the pool of candidates on the front end of the process, and impact the sales managers' ability to effectively on board new salespeople during the first 90 days.

posted on Monday, September 15, 2008 at 10:11 PM by Dave Kurlan


@Rick, 
 
Great questions - looking forward to reading Dan's answers.

posted on Monday, September 15, 2008 at 10:12 PM by Dave Kurlan


@Dan 
 
I almost forgot - I've addressed efficiency before - sales hiring efficiency in this post

posted on Monday, September 15, 2008 at 10:36 PM by Dave Kurlan


For those that care about cash flow: The cash wasted in the all to typical scenario you describe would be scary significant. Problem is that rarely does anyone calculate the true cost of hiring mistakes; there's also no accountability nor line on the P&L for the costs. Modern day managers simply expect to make salespeople hiring mistakes and gives themselves and others an accountability pass.

posted on Tuesday, September 16, 2008 at 4:51 PM by Mike Eagan


I've begun to suspect that the hiring model for sales people has been changing over the course of recent history into a more scattershot, let them sort themselves out model. I've seen truckloads of reps hired, and I believe there is often a conscious or unconscious feeling that a few will rise, many will do okay, and we'll fire the rest. Afterwards, bring in another truckload and repeat the process. 
 
 
 
With a high-enough variable piece of the reps' target incentive, what's the cost? One rep doing well pays for the incoming class. Every large sale after that is just gravy. 
 
 
 
I have no deep analytics to back this up, but the pattern becomes pretty clear when companies double the size of their sales forces without doubling revenue estimates.

posted on Tuesday, September 16, 2008 at 4:55 PM by David Kelly


I love your assessment of the effectiveness of each manager's hiring accuracy. We use a skills assessment and the Predictive Index behavioral assessment to ensure that everyone is hiring the best profile. It makes an enormous difference. 
 
 
 
Steve Waterhouse 
 
waterhousegroup.com

posted on Tuesday, April 14, 2009 at 5:16 PM by Steve Waterhouse


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